Underdog Files First 7 Sports Contracts for Its Own Prediction Exchange


Key takeaways

Underdog goes from distributor to stock market operator

The recently acquired Underdog exchange self-certified seven sporting event contract templates with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission on July 15, according to the regulator’s product. database. Aristotle Exchange DCM Inc., doing business as UDX, said in the deposits that it intended to offer the first contracts for negotiation no later than July 17. The documents establish a launch target but do not themselves confirm that public negotiation has begun.

The certifications cover three baseball models and three basketball models resembling the familiar game winner, winning margin and total score markets. A seventh, wider contract would allow markets to determine whether an athlete, team or other designated entity achieves an outcome within a defined period. The CFTC database lists all seven products as certified binary event exchanges.

The contracts have a notional value of $1 and can trade between $0.001 and $0.999. UDX said trading would generally remain available outside of announced maintenance windows and that at least one market maker would provide liquidity. Its total baseball depository sets a limit of 2.5 million contract participant positions and a limit of 25 million contracts for market makers.

outsider acquired Aristotle Exchange DCM and its affiliated derivatives clearing organization in March, saying the purchase would allow it to offer products through an exchange it owns. Prior to the acquisition and through its current client setup, Underdog operated primarily as an intermediary providing access to contracts listed by other federally registered sites.

The public of outsiders documentation currently says some accounts route transactions to Kalshi, while others remain powered by Cryptocurrency.com’s Derivatives North America, also known as Nadex. Running UDX would give Underdog greater control over contract design and settlement rules while reducing its reliance on third-party exchanges, although these existing relationships could continue alongside the new venue.

The entity-result model allows contracts involving athletes, teams, match winners, tournament advancement, championships, rankings and statistical thresholds. The repository also allows combining multiple entities using AND logic (where each condition must occur) or OR logic (where a single qualifying result is sufficient). This structure could support parlay-type products, although UDX does not use the term “parlay” or identify a specific combo contract it plans to list.

The filings are self-certifications rather than affirmative approvals from the CFTC: UDX has certified that the products comply with the Commodity Exchange Act and the commission’s regulations, while the regulator’s database records them as “Certified.” A separate amendment to the UDX rules supporting request for quote functionality remains under review for 10 days, indicating that some planned exchange functionality may follow early product listings.

The move comes as the CFTC considers its first frame for sporting event contracts. The commission’s proposal would allow most conventional results markets while restricting products related to injuries, officiating and certain discrete in-game actions. UDX’s initial filings focus on game results, score totals and broader competitive results – categories of products that would generally remain permitted under this proposal.

Certifications take Underdog beyond just displaying contracts provided by other exchanges. Once UDX begins listing products, the fantasy and sports gaming company will also control the regulated venue where at least part of its predictive market inventory is created, traded and settled.



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