Prediction markets tracking the escalating Middle East conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran are buzzing with activity Tuesday, as traders pour more than $230 million into bets linked to regime change, military escalation and diplomatic outcomes. Polymarket traders estimate the probability of a collapse of the Iranian regime at 42% by June 30 On Polymarket, the (…)
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Wartime Snapshot: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Iran Conflict
