The main dishes to remember:
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Bitcoin RSI’s weekly stochastic stochastic launched its 9th Haussier signal this cycle.
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Analysts see upward potential around $ 155,000 at $ 200,000 if history is repeated.
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Short -term liquidity pressures and FOMC decision could stimulate BTC price volatility.
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to consolidate more than $ 115,000 while traders are preparing for the interest rate of the Federal Committee on the Open Market (FOMC) on Wednesday. Immediate resistance for BTC remains between $ 117,000 and $ 118,000, and a break above this level could point out a major structural change on higher time cards.
Market optimism has been fueled by technical signals. Jelle of the cryptographic investor points The expression that the index of relative resistance of weekly stochastic (RSI) has once again become bullish, a development which has occurred nine times before in the current cycle. On average, each of these crosses sparked a 35%rally, which, if repeated, would lead Bitcoin to $ 155,000.
Meanwhile, the economist of the Bitcoin Timothy Peterson network arguments That although he does not believe in the technical analysis based on the cards, the repetitive cycle models offer a solid roadmap. Peterson’s model suggests that Bitcoin could reach $ 200,000 in the 170 days, which made such a result better than even the odds.
However, short -term price action remains darkened with caution. The analyst is biased highlighted This new ASK beer liquidity (uncovered) gathered nearly $ 116,000, describing it as the current “consensual trade” before the Fed decision.
SKEW has said that the persistent supply and unloading in the gatherings show that the market remains the heaviest and warns that this configuration can be the result of the handling of the market manufacturer rather than organic positioning.
Related: Bitcoin Eyes long liquidations while gold spends $ 3.7,000 for the first time
The markets are divided on the longer -term perspectives of Bitcoin
The broader story of the market shows a fracture or a thought between traders. Despite expectations Of more than three interest drops later this year, cryptocurrency data revealed that eight of the ten indicators of the Haussier market have already become down, reflecting the cooling momentum. That said, some traders think that the macroeconomic backdrop always promotes Bitcoin.
🚨 Alert: 8 Haussier market indicators of Bitcoin out of 10 have become down, with “Momentum clearly cools”, according to a cryptocurrency analyst. pic.twitter.com/2ioc1b5Oxb
– Cointtelegraph (@cointelegraph) September 12, 2025
Recruxbt underlines That the dollar index is at a support of 15 years, while shares and raw materials signal the force because the S&P 500 joined 12% this year to the new summits, and the gold is up 40% in 2025 after years of stagnation.
In this context, the merchant said that risk assets like Bitcoin could continue to benefit from liquidity growth and economic expansion.
Onchain’s signals are also supported. According to Trader Darkfost, short -term whales are Back to profit After defending the $ 108,000 area at $ 109,000 earlier this month. In the past, similar defenses have often prepared the ground for a bullish rally, as identified in March and April 2025.
With Bitcoin trading only 8% below its top of all time, the market is at a crossroads. That the latest RSI signal offers another rally defining the cycle or the dynamics of the macro opposite wind ceiling, the outcome of this week’s FOMC decision could be decisive.
Related: the illiquid bitcoin offer could reach 8.3 m by 2032: Fidelity
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and negotiation movement involves risks and readers should conduct their own research when they make a decision.
