The main dishes to remember:
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American GDP decreased by -0.3% in the first quarter, well below 0.3% of forecasts, arousing fears of recession.
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Bitcoin faces a sale pressure with its volume of delta paper, lowering $ 300 million in 3 days.
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The whales accumulate the BTC, but the small holders are sold, referring to profits.
Bitcoin (BTC) The price dropped by less than $ 93,000 on April 30, after US gross domestic product (GDP) revealed a contraction of -0.3% in the first quarter. While GDP has missed expectations of + 0.3%, the GDP price index climbed to 3.7% – the highest since August 2023. Polymarket Recession ratings in 2025 Hit 67%, with consumer confidence at the lowest since May 2020.
At the same time, in March 2025, the inflation of the PCE (personal consumer expenditure) fell to 2.3% (above 2.2% expected), and the central PCE fell to 2.6% (in accordance with expectations). However, the Core PCE in February was revised from 2.8% to 3.0%, reporting mixed inflation trends.
Short -term Baresh, long -term bruise for Bitcoin?
During the market accident induced by COVID-19 2020, the BTC initially followed traditional markets before rallying more than 300% by the end of the year as the global money supply of M2 increased, reflecting its attraction during periods of monetary expansion. However, stagflation, highlighted by the contraction of GDP -0.3% in the first quarter of 2025 and a 3.7% GDP price index, present short -term risks.
Cointelegraph noted This high inflation often dissuades investments in retail cryptography, as shown in 2022 when the BTC dropped 60% in the midst of interest rate increases in the federal reserve. The inflation data of the PCE of March 2025 suggest cooling pressures that could facilitate fears of the increase in rates and support bitcoin.
On the other hand, February upward revisions (PCE head the head from 2.5%to 2.7%, basic PCE at 3.0%) reports persistent inflation, keeping the next movements of the uncertain Fed. Although the fear of stagflation can put pressure on the short -term BTC, its long -term coverage potential remains valid.
Related: Bitcoin macro indicator which predicts 2022 flash flash ‘buy signal’
Bitcoin sees $ 300 million in cash sales pressure
The punctual volume of Bitcoin Delta has dropped more than $ 300 million in the last three days, increasing the potential BTC sales pressure around the level of $ 95,000.
Data from The nodnode indicates The 7 -day mobile average of the Spot Delta volume recorded negative flows during the consecutive days. Negative entries gradually increased with a minor fight of $ 16 million on April 26, followed by $ 30.9 million on April 27, $ 76.1 million on April 28 and $ 193.4 million on April 29.
This sharp decline indicates an aggressive sale and a weakening of demand in cash, a signal for taking profit or a potential inversion of short -term trend. Despite the sale, the analysis platform noted that The accumulation trends among the bearer carrier paint a more nuanced image. Whales containing more than 10,000 BTCs remain in accumulation mode, with a trend score close to 0.95.
However, small carriers show signs of distribution. The group 10–100 BTC tends to 0.6, while those with 1 to 10 BTC (0.3) and less than 1 BTC (0.2) are net sellers.
This descending accumulation suggests that the current sales pressure comes from short -term holders who potentially gain profits around the level of $ 95,000. Called “Lucrative pressure test” For the BTC, the current market is at a key decision point, where taking advantage is a central metric to monitor.
Last week, the total profit made on an hourly graph increased to $ 139.9 million / hour, about 17% above its base line of $ 120 million / hour. With the current Delta outings, the profit achieved could reach new heights this week.
Related: Bitcoin Traders predicts BTC price gains before the liquidity shock of $ 96,000
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and negotiation movement involves risks and readers should conduct their own research when they make a decision.
